John Dramani Mahama, the presidential candidate for the National Democratic Congress (NDC), is expected to win, according to Global InfoAnalytics.
Just eight days before the general elections on December 7, the research firm made its most recent projection.
According to the poll, the former president would receive 52.2% of the vote, more than Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), who is predicted to receive 41.4%.
Additionally, the projection projects that Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen will receive 2.5% of the vote, Nana Kwame Bediako will receive 3.0%, and other candidates will receive 0.9%. With a predicted voter turnout of 77.6%, this analysis has a margin of error of ±1.8%.
According to regional dynamics, Mr. Mahama is expected to prevail in ten areas, including the Northern, Central, Greater Accra, and Volta regions.
It is anticipated that Dr. Bawumia will declare triumphs in the Ashanti, Eastern, Ahafo, and North East regions, among other areas.
Additionally, it is predicted that the NDC will win a majority of 150 seats in the parliamentary elections. 99 seats are predicted to be won by the NPP, with one seat probably going to an independent. 29 constituencies, nevertheless, are still too close to call.
This forecast highlights a change in parliamentary representation, with the NDC perhaps building on its victories in bases of support while challenging areas controlled by the NPP.
The research study identifies key themes influencing voter preferences, such as public service performance, job development, and economic concerns.
Additionally, the importance of regional strongholds in influencing the final election result was emphasized.
The forecasts cover both worst-case and best-case scenarios, with Mahama’s support potentially ranging from 50.4% to 54.1% based on final voter turnout and undecided voters.
This survey was conducted shortly after a comparable study by Professor Smart Sarpong, an associate professor of statistics at Kumasi Technical University, was published on Thursday, November 21, 2024. The study found that Dr. Bawumia had 49.1% of the vote.
According to that survey, Dr. Bawumia’s nearest opponent, John Dramani Mahama of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), received 45.8% of the vote, Nana Kwame Bediako of the New Force is expected to receive slightly more than 2%, and Alan John Kwadwo Kyerematen of the Movement for Change is expected to finish fourth with just 1.2%.
Source: myjoyonline.com